Bailey–Keating conjecture for moments of moments of the Riemann zeta function

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Let k,γ∈Nk,\gamma\in\mathbb{N} and c>0c>0 be fixed, and define

Mk,2γ(T)=∫0T(12c∫−cc∣ζ(1/2+it+ih)∣2γ dh)kdt.\mathcal{M}_{k,2\gamma}(T)=\int_0^T\left(\frac{1}{2c}\int_{-c}^{c}|\zeta(1/2+it+ih)|^{2\gamma}\,dh\right)^kdt.

Let ak,γa_{k,\gamma} be the arithmetic constant and gk,γg_{k,\gamma} the geometric constant. Bailey–Keating conjecture.

Mk,2γ(T)=ak,γgk,γT(log⁡T)k2γ2−k+1(1+Ok,γ((log⁡T)−1)).\mathcal{M}_{k,2\gamma}(T)=a_{k,\gamma}g_{k,\gamma}T(\log T)^{k^2\gamma^2-k+1}\left(1+O_{k,\gamma}((\log T)^{-1})\right).

Moreover, when suitably smoothed, the quantity has the form

TPk2γ2−k+1(log⁡T/2π)+Ok,γ(Ta),T P_{k^2\gamma^2-k+1}(\log T/2\pi)+O_{k,\gamma}(T^a),

where Pk2γ2−k+1(x)P_{k^2\gamma^2-k+1}(x) has degree k2γ2−k+1k^2\gamma^2-k+1 and a<1a<1. This connects zeta moments of moments with Gaussian multiplicative chaos and random matrix theory; the asserted asymptotics remain conjectural.

References

Primary source

Valeriya Kovaleva, “Correlations of the squares of the Riemann zeta on the critical line”, arXiv:2401.13725 (2024).

Additional references

2 papers in this index state this conjecture (2022–2024). The statement above is taken from the most recent of them; the others are arXiv:2205.07282.

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