The extension conjecture for non-toric staged tree models

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Let T\mathcal T be a staged tree with non-toric V(ker⁡φT)V(\ker \varphi_{\mathcal T}) that uses color set SS. Let T′\mathcal T' be a staged tree such that its restriction to color set SS gives T\mathcal T. Extension conjecture. Then ker⁡φT′\ker \varphi_{\mathcal T'} is not toric under any linear change of variables. This conjecture proposes that non-toric structure persists when a staged tree is extended while retaining the original color set. The paper gives no proof or resolution, so the conjecture remains open.

References

Primary source

Aida Maraj and Arpan Pal, “Symmetry Lie Algebras of Varieties with Applications to Algebraic Statistics”, arXiv:2309.10741 (2025).

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