The extension conjecture for non-toric staged tree models

Let T\mathcal T be a staged tree with non-toric V(kerφT)V(\ker \varphi_{\mathcal T}) that uses color set SS. Let T\mathcal T' be a staged tree such that its restriction to color set SS gives T\mathcal T. Extension conjecture. Then kerφT\ker \varphi_{\mathcal T'} is not toric under any linear change of variables. This conjecture proposes that non-toric structure persists when a staged tree is extended while retaining the original color set. The paper gives no proof or resolution, so the conjecture remains open.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Aida Maraj and Arpan Pal, “Symmetry Lie Algebras of Varieties with Applications to Algebraic Statistics”, arXiv:2309.10741 (2025).

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