The negative-part contraction conjecture for lifted flip MMPs

Let (X1,B1+M1)(X_1,B_1+M_1) be a projective Q\mathbb{Q}-factorial NQC dlt generalised pair such that KX1+B1+M1K_{X_1}+B_1+M_1 is pseudoeffective. Consider a sequence of flips in a (KX1+B1+M1)(K_{X_1}+B_1+M_1)-MMP:

(X1,B1+M1)(X2,B2+M2)(X3,B3+M3).(X_1,B_1+M_1)\dashrightarrow (X_2,B_2+M_2)\dashrightarrow (X_3,B_3+M_3)\dashrightarrow\dots.

Consider a diagram with birational morphisms fi ⁣:XiXif_i\colon X_i'\to X_i and induced maps ρi\rho_i on top:

(X1,B1+M1)(X2,B2+M2)(X3,B3+M3)f1f2f3(X1,B1+M1)(X2,B2+M2)(X3,B3+M3)\begin{array}{ccccccccc} (X_1',B_1'+M_1')&\dashrightarrow& (X_2',B_2'+M_2')&\dashrightarrow& (X_3',B_3'+M_3')&\dashrightarrow&\dots\\ \downarrow f_1&&\downarrow f_2&&\downarrow f_3&&\\ (X_1,B_1+M_1)&\dashrightarrow& (X_2,B_2+M_2)&\dashrightarrow& (X_3,B_3+M_3)&\dashrightarrow&\dots \end{array}

Let TT be a component of Nσ(KX1+B1+M1)N_\sigma(K_{X'_1}+B'_1+M'_1) which is a log canonical centre of (X1,B1+M1)(X'_1,B'_1+M'_1). The negative-part contraction conjecture. The MMP on top of the above diagram contracts TT.

This is presented as an equivalent formulation of the preceding conjecture when the MMPs consist only of flips, linking termination behaviour to the Nakayama--Zariski decomposition. Its status is not resolved in the supplied source context.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Vladimir Lazić and Zhixin Xie, “Nakayama-Zariski decomposition and the termination of flips”, arXiv:2305.01752 (2025).

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