Versal Breuil--Mézard conjecture for GSp4\mathrm{GSp}_4

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Let S{\mathcal S} be a set of types, and let JH(σ‾(S))\mathrm{JH}(\overline{\sigma}({\mathcal S})) be the union of the Jordan--Hölder factors of the reductions σ‾(λ,τ)\overline{\sigma}(\lambda,\tau) for (λ+η,τ)∈S(\lambda+\eta,\tau)\in{\mathcal S}. Let ρ‾∈XSym(F)\overline{\rho}\in{\mathcal X}_{{\mathrm{Sym}}}(\mathbf F) and let Rρ‾algR_{\overline{\rho}}^{\mathrm{alg}} be the algebraic versal ring at ρ‾\overline{\rho}. Versal Breuil--Mézard conjecture. For every σ∈JH(σ‾(S))\sigma\in\mathrm{JH}(\overline{\sigma}({\mathcal S})), there exists an effective cycle Zσ(ρ‾)∈Z[Spec⁡Rρ‾alg]{\mathcal Z}_\sigma(\overline{\rho})\in\mathbf Z[\operatorname{Spec}R_{\overline{\rho}}^{\mathrm{alg}}] such that, for all (λ+η,τ)∈S(\lambda+\eta,\tau)\in{\mathcal S},

Zλ,τ(ρ‾)=∑σ∈JH(σ‾(λ,τ))[σ‾(λ,τ):σ]Zσ(ρ‾).{\mathcal Z}_{\lambda,\tau}(\overline{\rho})=\sum_{\sigma\in\mathrm{JH}(\overline{\sigma}(\lambda,\tau))}[\overline{\sigma}(\lambda,\tau):\sigma]{\mathcal Z}_\sigma(\overline{\rho}).

This is the versal local formulation obtained by pulling back the geometric conjecture to a versal ring; the source presents it as the corresponding conjecture for GSp4\mathrm{GSp}_4.

References

Primary source

Heejong Lee, “Emerton–Gee stacks, Serre weights, and Breuil–Mézard conjectures for GSp_4”, arXiv:2304.13879 (2026).

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