Passage-time decorrelation conjecture in the chaotic regime

Let T0T_0 and TtT_t be the passage times at perturbation times 00 and tt, and write Var(T)\operatorname{Var}(T) for the variance of the passage time and Corr(T0,Tt)\operatorname{Corr}(T_0,T_t) for their correlation. Let nn tend to infinity. Passage-time decorrelation conjecture. If

t1nVar(T),t \gg \frac{1}{n}\operatorname{Var}(T),

then

Corr(T0,Tt)=o(1).\operatorname{Corr}(T_0,T_t)=o(1).

This predicts decorrelation of passage times in the chaotic regime, at the same scale as the transition from stable to chaotic geodesic behavior. The source notes that related results are not known and motivates the conjecture heuristically through KPZ scaling relations.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Daniel Ahlberg, Maria Deijfen and Matteo Sfragara, “From stability to chaos in last-passage percolation”, arXiv:2302.11379 (2023).

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