Motivic or homological stability conjecture for Manin components

Let π:XB\pi:\mathcal{X}\to B be a Fano fibration and let MM range over the Manin components of Sec(X/B)\operatorname{Sec}(\mathcal{X}/B), with degree tending to infinity. Stability conjecture for Manin components. The Manin components exhibit motivic or homological stability as the degree increases.

The source describes this as a vague principle: possible formulations include convergence of renormalized classes in a localization of the Grothendieck ring or stabilization of étale cohomology. The correct formulation is explicitly said to remain a topic of ongoing research.

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Primary source

Brian Lehmann, Eric Riedl and Sho Tanimoto, “Non-free sections of Fano fibrations”, arXiv:2301.01695 (2025).

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