Geometric Manin's conjecture for non-nef sections

Let π:XB\pi:\mathcal{X}\to B be a Fano fibration, and let Sec(X/B)\operatorname{Sec}(\mathcal{X}/B) be its moduli space of sections. A component is accumulating when it is governed by the exceptional-set contribution predicted by the Fujita invariant. Geometric Manin's conjecture for non-nef sections. The components parametrizing non-nef sections satisfy: (1) there is a Zariski-closed proper subset YX\mathcal{Y}\subsetneq\mathcal{X} containing every non-nef section; and (2) all but finitely many such irreducible components are accumulating.

Over a field of characteristic zero, the source states that this claim is established by its main theorem and proof; thus this is a solved conjectural statement in that setting.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Brian Lehmann, Eric Riedl and Sho Tanimoto, “Non-free sections of Fano fibrations”, arXiv:2301.01695 (2025).

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