Positivity of the rank for elliptic surface fibres

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Let π ⁣:X→P1\pi\colon X\to\mathbb{P}^1 be an elliptic surface defined over Q\mathbb{Q}, and fix an affine chart A1⊆P1\mathbb{A}^1\subseteq\mathbb{P}^1. Suppose that the elliptic surface has a fibre of multiplicative type over some point of A1\mathbb{A}^1. Define

N(x)=#{n∈Z:1≤n≤x and the fibre Xn is an elliptic curve with rank⁡Xn(Q)>0}.N(x)=\#\{n\in\mathbb{Z}:1\le n\le x\text{ and the fibre }X_n\text{ is an elliptic curve with }\operatorname{rank}X_n(\mathbb{Q})>0\}.

Positivity of the rank. There is c>0c>0 such that for all sufficiently large xx, N(x)≥c⋅xN(x)\ge c\cdot x. This conjecture is motivated by work of Helfgott and, together with a parity statement for elliptic curves, is used to obtain positive Diophantine definability results.

References

Primary source

Natalia Garcia-Fritz and Hector Pasten, “A Diophantine definition of the constants in Q(z)”, arXiv:2208.11616 (2022).

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