Bounded multiplicities for irreducible fibers of Fano fibrations

Let dd be a positive integer and ϵ\epsilon a positive real number. Let XX be a normal variety of dimension dd and let π:XC\pi:X\to C be a contraction to a curve CC. Assume that XX is ϵ\epsilon-lc, KX-K_X is ample over CC, and every fiber of XCX\to C is irreducible. For a closed point zCz\in C, write

πz=mzFz,\pi^*z=m_zF_z,

where FzF_z is the irreducible component of πz\pi^*z. Irreducible-fiber multiplicity conjecture. There exists a positive integer mm, depending only on dd and ϵ\epsilon, such that mzmm_z\le m. This is the Fano-fibration multiplicity conjecture used in the paper's reductions; no general proof is given in the supplied text.

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Primary source

Guodu Chen and Chuyu Zhou, “On multiplicities of fibers of Fano fibrations”, arXiv:2208.10372 (2026).

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