Conjectured asymptotic bounds for the probability of alternating Galois group

From papers

Fix n4n\geq4. Let ff be a degree-nn polynomial whose coefficients are chosen independently and uniformly from [L,L]Z[-L,L]\cap\mathbb{Z}, and let GfG_f denote its Galois group. The alternating-Galois-group conjecture. As LL\to\infty,

Ln/2+ϵProb(Gf=An)Ln/2.L^{-n/2+\epsilon}\gg\operatorname{Prob}(G_f=A_n)\gg L^{-n/2}.

Here the implied constants may depend on nn and ϵ\epsilon, as is standard for the notation \gg. The conjecture refines the known upper bound discussed in the source and is motivated by proved lower bounds and the small-degree cases, but the supplied text gives no resolution status for the general assertion.

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Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Lior Bary-Soroker, Or Ben-Porath and Vlad Matei, “Probabilistic Galois Theory – The Square Discriminant Case”, arXiv:2207.12493 (2024).

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