Cowan's conjecture on the average Mordell–Weil rank of elliptic curves over the rational function field

Let μ\mu be the Mahler measure on Z[t]\mathbf{Z}[t], and for a positive integer dd and real number MM define

Pd(M)={pZ[T]deg(p)d, μ(p)<M}.P_d(M)=\{p\in\mathbf{Z}[T]\mid \deg(p)\leq d,\ \mu(p)<M\}.

For positive integers m,nm,n and real MM, let

Sm,n(M)={EA,B:y2=x3+A(t)x+B(t) | APm(M2), BPn(M3), 4A(t)3+27B(t)20}.S_{m,n}(M)=\left\{E_{A,B}: y^2=x^3+A(t)x+B(t)\ \middle|\ A\in P_m(M^2),\ B\in P_n(M^3),\ 4A(t)^3+27B(t)^2\neq 0\right\}.

Cowan's conjecture. For every pair of positive integers m,nm,n,

limM1#Sm,n(M)ESm,n(M)rankE(Q(t))=0.\lim_{M\to\infty}\frac{1}{\#S_{m,n}(M)}\sum_{E\in S_{m,n}(M)}\operatorname{rank}E(\mathbf{Q}(t))=0.

The conjecture concerns the average Mordell–Weil rank of elliptic curves over Q(t)\mathbf{Q}(t) ordered by the Mahler measures of the coefficients. The source paper states that it proves this conjecture for elliptic surfaces over Q\mathbf{Q} and establishes an analogous result over arbitrary number fields.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Remke Kloosterman, “The average Mordell-Weil rank of elliptic surfaces over number fields”, arXiv:2204.12102 (2022).

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