Asymptotic conjecture for Euler characteristics of minimal strata of differentials

Let Mg(2g1){\mathcal{M}}_g(2g-1) denote the moduli space of minimal holomorphic strata of differentials in genus gg, and let χ\chi denote its orbifold Euler characteristic. Asymptotic Euler-characteristic conjecture. For all g1g\geq 1, χ(Mg(2g1))\chi({\mathcal{M}}_g(2g-1)) is negative. Moreover, there exist positive constants AA and BB such that

A(2g1)!(2g1)4χ(Mg(2g1))B(2g1)!(2g1)3A\frac{(2g-1)!}{(2g-1)^4}\leq -\chi({\mathcal{M}}_g(2g-1))\leq B\frac{(2g-1)!}{(2g-1)^3}

for all gg. Numerical experiments suggest this growth rate, which is much higher than that of Mg,1{\mathcal{M}}_{g,1}; the conjecture would also indicate that the cohomology of minimal strata is not spanned by tautological classes, although establishing this would require comparing topological and orbifold Euler characteristics.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Matteo Costantini, Adrien Sauvaget and Johannes Schmitt, “Integrals of ψ-classes on twisted double ramification cycles and spaces of differentials”, arXiv:2112.04238 (2025).

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