Time monotonicity conjecture for Bayesian sequential composite hypothesis testing
Let be the value function defined in, where denotes the time index, is the relevant state variable, is a prior distribution, and is the parameter appearing in the testing problem. Time monotonicity conjecture. The function is non-decreasing in for any prior distribution and any . The preceding results establish time monotonicity only under restrictive conditions, while the authors report no counterexamples within the exponential family and verify the property in several particular examples; the conjecture asserts it for arbitrary prior distributions.
References
Primary source
Erik Ekström and Yuqiong Wang, “Bayesian sequential composite hypothesis testing in discrete time”, arXiv:2108.10866 (2021).
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