Bhargava–Shankar's average nn-Selmer size conjecture

Let nn be any positive integer. For elliptic curves EE over Q\mathbb{Q} ordered by height, let Seln(E/Q)\operatorname{Sel}_n(E/\mathbb{Q}) denote the nn-Selmer group, and let σ(n)\sigma(n) be the sum of the divisors of nn. Bhargava–Shankar's conjecture. The average size of Seln(E/Q)\operatorname{Sel}_n(E/\mathbb{Q}) is σ(n)\sigma(n). The conjecture has been verified for n=2,3,4,5n=2,3,4,5, yielding partial results toward the rank distribution conjecture; it is not stated as fully resolved for arbitrary positive integers here.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Debanjana Kundu and Anwesh Ray, “Statistics for Iwasawa Invariants of elliptic curves, II”, arXiv:2106.12095 (2023).

Additional references

2 papers in this index state this conjecture (2021). The statement above is taken from the most recent of them; the others are arXiv:2106.01517.

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