Global dynamics conjecture for the competition system with delay

Consider the competition system

x˙1(t)=,x˙2(t)=\dot{x}_1(t)=\cdots,\qquad \dot{x}_2(t)=\cdots

with positive initial data, basic reproduction numbers R0(1)>1\mathcal{R}_0^{(1)}>1 and R0(2)>1\mathcal{R}_0^{(2)}>1, boundary equilibria E1,E2E_1,E_2, and coexistence equilibrium EcE_c. Let x1x_1^* and x2x_2^* denote the corresponding single-species equilibrium values. Global dynamics conjecture. For every solution (x1(t),x2(t))(x_1(t),x_2(t)), the following assertions hold: (a) if α1x1>κ2x2\alpha_1x_1^*>\kappa_2x_2^* and κ1x1>α2x2\kappa_1x_1^*>\alpha_2x_2^*, then (x1(t),x2(t))(x_1(t),x_2(t)) converges to E1E_1; (b) if α1x1<κ2x2\alpha_1x_1^*<\kappa_2x_2^* and κ1x1<α2x2\kappa_1x_1^*<\alpha_2x_2^*, then it converges to E2E_2; (c) if condition (Hs)\mathrm{(H_s)} holds, then it converges to EcE_c; and (d) if condition (Hu)\mathrm{(H_u)} holds, then every solution whose initial data is not on the one-dimensional stable manifold of EcE_c converges to either E1E_1 or E2E_2. The conjecture proposes a complete classification of the global dynamics in the parameter regimes considered, extending the local stability analysis and numerical bifurcation diagrams; the assertions remain to be established analytically.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Chiu-Ju Lin, Ting-Hao Hsu and Gail S. K. Wolkowicz, “Population Growth and Competition Models with Decay and Competition Consistent Delay”, arXiv:2106.08205 (2021).

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