Prime arithmetic progression counting conjecture

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Let kk be the length of the progression, let dd be its common difference, and let Ak,dA_{k,d} be the adjustment factor defined by the local prime-divisibility probabilities. Prime arithmetic progression conjecture. The number of arithmetic progressions of primes of length kk and common difference dd, beginning with a prime p≤Np\leq N, is

Ak,d∫2Ndx(log⁡x)k∼Ak,dN(log⁡N)k.A_{k,d}\int_2^N\frac{dx}{(\log x)^k}\sim\frac{A_{k,d}N}{(\log N)^k}.

This specializes the polynomial prime-value heuristic to arithmetic progressions; it remains open in general.

References

Primary source

Chris K. Caldwell, “An Amazing Prime Heuristic”, arXiv:2103.04483 (2021).

Additional references

4 papers in this index state this conjecture (2017–2021). The statement above is taken from the most recent of them; the others are arXiv:1910.01039, arXiv:1901.07882, arXiv:1706.00317.

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