Fermat prime finiteness conjecture

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For n≥0n\geq 0, define the Fermat numbers by

Fn=22n+1.F_n=2^{2^n}+1.

Fermat prime finiteness conjecture. There are only finitely many Fermat primes, that is, only finitely many indices nn for which FnF_n is prime. The heuristic is based on summing the approximate primality probabilities for the Fermat numbers; the conjecture remains open.

References

Primary source

Chris K. Caldwell, “An Amazing Prime Heuristic”, arXiv:2103.04483 (2021).

Progress summary

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Open

No proof has shown that only finitely many Fermat primes exist, although extensive computation and probability-based reasoning strongly suggest that the five already known may be the only ones.

Fermat conjectured in 1650 that every Fermat number was prime; Euler disproved this in 1732. The finiteness question remains open, with Hardy and Wright later supporting the expectation that only finitely many Fermat primes exist.

Known results

  • Euler, 1732: F5=641⋅6700417F_5=641\cdot 6700417 is composite.
  • Computations establish that FnF_n is composite for 5≤n≤325\le n\le 32 and for many further indices, including n=18233954n=18233954.
  • The only known Fermat primes are F0,F1,F2,F3,F4F_0,F_1,F_2,F_3,F_4.
  • Probabilistic analyses, including Boklan–Conway and Caldwell, strongly favor finiteness but are not proofs.

2026 preprint

A 2026 preprint derives new primality and pseudoprimality constraints for Fermat numbers, but explicitly leaves open both the infinitude of Fermat primes and the infinitude of composite Fermat numbers; it does not claim to settle finiteness.

Current status (as of August 2026): The conjecture remains open; only five Fermat primes are known, many later Fermat numbers are computationally composite, and existing heuristics and the 2026 constraints provide no proof of finiteness.

Sources

Solutions 0

No solutions have been posted yet.