Catalan-number conjecture for odd moments of elliptic-curve families

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Consider a one-parameter family of elliptic curves with rank rr. Let A2k+1,E(p)A_{2k+1,\mathcal{E}}(p) denote the (2k+1)(2k+1)st moment, and let CnC_n be the nnth Catalan number:

Cn=1n+1(2nn).C_n=\frac{1}{n+1}\binom{2n}{n}.

For k∈Z>0k\in\mathbb{Z}_{>0}, the proposed leading term has order pk+1p^{k+1}.

Catalan-number odd-moment conjecture. The average value of the main term of the (2k+1)(2k+1)st moment is

−Ck+1rpk+1.-C_{k+1}rp^{k+1}.

This conjecture unifies the proposed formulas for the third, fifth, and seventh moments through Catalan numbers. It is motivated by numerical data and is not proved in the source; it remains open.

References

Primary source

Steven J. Miller and Yan Weng, “Biases in Moments of the Dirichlet Coefficients in One- and Two-Parameter Families of Elliptic Curves”, arXiv:2103.03942 (2021).

Additional references

2 papers in this index state this conjecture (2021). The statement above is taken from the most recent of them; the others are arXiv:2102.02702.

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