Chai–Oort Hecke orbit conjecture for Hodge type Shimura varieties

Let S\mathcal{S} be the canonical integral model of a Shimura variety of Hodge type with hyperspecial level, and let SFp\mathcal{S}_{\overline{\mathbb{F}}_p} be its special fiber. A point is μ\mu-ordinary when it lies in the open Newton stratum of SFp\mathcal{S}_{\overline{\mathbb{F}}_p}; this agrees with being ordinary when the ordinary locus is nonempty. Chai–Oort conjecture. The prime-to-pp Hecke orbit of a μ\mu-ordinary point is Zariski dense in SFp\mathcal{S}_{\overline{\mathbb{F}}_p}. The conjecture was made for PEL Shimura varieties and is expected to extend to Hodge type Shimura varieties, including the PEL case; its status in the stated generality is not resolved here.

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Primary source

Davesh Maulik, Ananth N. Shankar and Yunqing Tang, “Picard ranks of K3 surfaces over function fields and the Hecke orbit conjecture”, arXiv:2011.08887 (2020).

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