Uniform Abelian mod-Poisson convergence in strata

Let C\mathcal{C} be a non-hyperelliptic connected component of a stratum of Abelian differentials, and let pC(k)p_{\mathcal{C}}(k) be the probability that a random Abelian square-tiled surface in C\mathcal{C} has kk cylinders. Set

μg=log(4g3).\mu_g=\log(4g-3).

Abelian-stratum mod-Poisson conjecture. For every x>0x>0, uniformly for k{0,1,,xlog(g)}k\in\{0,1,\ldots,\lfloor x\log(g)\rfloor\},

pCAb(k)=eμgμgkk!(1Γ(t)+o(1)),p^{Ab}_{\mathcal{C}}(k)=e^{-\mu_g}\frac{\mu_g^k}{k!}\left(\frac{1}{\Gamma(t)}+o(1)\right),

as gg\to\infty, with the error term uniform over all non-hyperelliptic components of all strata of Abelian differentials. The claim is presented as a conjectural uniform extension of the preceding Abelian convergence statement; the supplied text gives no resolution status.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Vincent Delecroix, Elise Goujard, Peter Zograf and Anton Zorich, “Large genus asymptotic geometry of random square-tiled surfaces and of random multicurves”, arXiv:2007.04740 (2022).

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