The stable-structure tail conjecture for median dynamics on the square lattice

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Consider median dynamics on Z2\mathbb{Z}^2, with η∞(0)\eta_\infty(0) denoting the limiting opinion at the origin. Stable-structure tail conjecture.

lim sup⁡α→0P[η∞(0)∈[0,α]]α4<∞.\limsup_{\alpha\to0}\frac{\mathbb{P}[\eta_\infty(0)\in[0,\alpha]]}{\alpha^4}<\infty.

The exponent 44 comes from the smallest stable structures, namely 2×22\times2 squares, and the conjecture asserts that these structures determine the order of the density near zero.

References

Primary source

Gideon Amir, Rangel Baldasso and Nissan Beilin, “Majority dynamics and the median process: connections, convergence and some new conjectures”, arXiv:1911.08613 (2023).

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