Generic-level variance conjecture for excursion and level sets

Let ff satisfy Assumptions,, and, and let DR2D\subset\mathbb{R}^2 be an open rectangle centred at the origin. Write DRD_R for its dilation by RR, and let NES(DR,)N_\mathrm{ES}(D_R,\ell) and NLS(DR,)N_\mathrm{LS}(D_R,\ell) denote the numbers of excursion-set and level-set components at level \ell. Generic-level variance conjecture. For every R\ell\in\mathbb{R} there exists cvar()>0c_\mathrm{var}(\ell)>0 such that

Var(NES(DR,))cvar()Area(D)R2,\mathrm{Var}(N_\mathrm{ES}(D_R,\ell))\sim c_\mathrm{var}(\ell)\mathrm{Area}(D)R^2,

and the same conclusion holds for NLS(DR,)N_\mathrm{LS}(D_R,\ell). The conjecture asserts that the proved lower bound has the correct order for these fields and all levels; the source presents it among open questions, so its resolution is not given.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Dmitry Beliaev, Michael McAuley and Stephen Muirhead, “Fluctuations of the number of excursion sets of planar Gaussian fields”, arXiv:1908.10708 (2020).

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