Generic-level variance conjecture for excursion and level sets

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Let ff satisfy Assumptions,, and, and let D⊂R2D\subset\mathbb{R}^2 be an open rectangle centred at the origin. Write DRD_R for its dilation by RR, and let NES(DR,ℓ)N_\mathrm{ES}(D_R,\ell) and NLS(DR,ℓ)N_\mathrm{LS}(D_R,\ell) denote the numbers of excursion-set and level-set components at level ℓ\ell. Generic-level variance conjecture. For every ℓ∈R\ell\in\mathbb{R} there exists cvar(ℓ)>0c_\mathrm{var}(\ell)>0 such that

Var(NES(DR,ℓ))∼cvar(ℓ)Area(D)R2,\mathrm{Var}(N_\mathrm{ES}(D_R,\ell))\sim c_\mathrm{var}(\ell)\mathrm{Area}(D)R^2,

and the same conclusion holds for NLS(DR,ℓ)N_\mathrm{LS}(D_R,\ell). The conjecture asserts that the proved lower bound has the correct order for these fields and all levels; the source presents it among open questions, so its resolution is not given.

References

Primary source

Dmitry Beliaev, Michael McAuley and Stephen Muirhead, “Fluctuations of the number of excursion sets of planar Gaussian fields”, arXiv:1908.10708 (2020).

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