Largest-prime-gap asymptotic via the interval sieve
Let be the minimum of over all choices of residue classes modulo primes up to , and define
Let denote the largest gap between consecutive primes up to , and let . Asymptotic for largest gap in the primes.
This is the prediction obtained by transferring the rigorously analyzed random-sieve model to the primes. The stronger prediction is conditional on an additional folklore conjecture about the interval sieve.
References
Primary source
William Banks, Kevin Ford and Terence Tao, “Large prime gaps and probabilistic models”, arXiv:1908.08613 (2025).
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