Independent coherent opinions bound for radically different opinions

Let (X,Y)(X,Y) be a coherent random vector with values in [0,1]2[0,1]^2, and suppose that XX and YY are independent. Independent-opinions bound. Then

P(XY1δ)2δ(1δ)P(|X-Y|\ge 1-\delta)\le 2\delta(1-\delta)

for every δ[0,12)\delta\in[0,\frac{1}{2}). This is a proposed check of a broader claim about coherent pairs; the source does not establish the inequality, and its status is left open.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Krzysztof Burdzy and Jim Pitman, “Bounds on the probability of radically different opinions”, arXiv:1903.07773 (2019).

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