Ratios-Conjecture prediction for the variance of Gaussian primes

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Let K=XλK=X^\lambda with 0<λ<10<\lambda<1, and let CfC_f, CΦC_\Phi, CΦ′C'_\Phi, Φ~\widetilde\Phi, CΦ,ζC_{\Phi,\zeta}, CΦ,LC_{\Phi,L}, and AΦ′A'_\Phi be the constants defined in the paper. Ratios-Conjecture variance conjecture. For some constant ϵ>0\epsilon>0 depending on λ\lambda,

Var⁡(ψK,X)CfX1−λ={CΦlog⁡X+ΔΦ+OΦ(X−ϵ),12<λ<1,CΦ(2λlog⁡X)−KΦ+OΦ(X−ϵ),λ<12,\frac{\operatorname{Var}(\psi_{K,X})}{C_fX^{1-\lambda}}= \begin{cases} C_\Phi\log X+\Delta_\Phi+O_\Phi(X^{-\epsilon}),&\frac12<\lambda<1,\\ C_\Phi(2\lambda\log X)-K_\Phi+O_\Phi(X^{-\epsilon}),&\lambda<\frac12, \end{cases}

where

ΔΦ:=CΦ′−π2Φ~(12)2,\Delta_\Phi:=C'_\Phi-\pi^2\widetilde\Phi\left(\frac12\right)^2,

and

KΦ:=CΦ,ζ−CΦ,L−AΦ′+2π2Φ~(12)2+CΦ(log⁡(π24)+2).K_\Phi:=C_{\Phi,\zeta}-C_{\Phi,L}-A'_\Phi+2\pi^2\widetilde\Phi\left(\frac12\right)^2+C_\Phi\left(\log\left(\frac{\pi^2}{4}\right)+2\right).

This is the paper's lower-order-term prediction obtained from the Ratios Conjecture. The supplied text gives no resolution.

References

Primary source

Ryan C. Chen, Yujin H. Kim, Jared D. Lichtman, Steven J. Miller, Alina Shubina, Shannon Sweitzer, Ezra Waxman, Eric Winsor and Jianing Yang, “A Refined Conjecture for the Variance of Gaussian Primes Across Sectors”, arXiv:1901.07386 (2021).

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