Batyrev–Manin Conjecture C' for Fano varieties

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Let VV be a Fano variety with canonical bundle ωV\omega_V not effective, let L\mathcal{L} be a very ample line bundle, and let U⊆VU\subseteq V be a sufficiently small Zariski open subset. Define

NU(L,X)=#{x∈U(k):hϕ(x)⩽X},N_U(\mathcal{L},X)=\#\{x\in U(k):h_\phi(x)\leqslant X\},

where hϕh_\phi is a height associated with L\mathcal{L}. Also define

α(L)=inf⁡{λ∈R:λ[L]+[ωV]∈Neff1(V)},\alpha(\mathcal{L})=\inf\{\lambda\in\mathbf{R}:\lambda[\mathcal{L}]+[\omega_V]\in N_{\rm eff}^1(V)\},

and let t(L)t(\mathcal{L}) be the codimension of the minimal face of ∂Neff1(V)\partial N_{\rm eff}^1(V) containing α(L)[L]+[ωV]\alpha(\mathcal{L})[\mathcal{L}]+[\omega_V].

Batyrev–Manin Conjecture C'. If UU is sufficiently small, then

NU(L,X)∼cXα(L)(log⁡X)t(L)−1N_U(\mathcal{L},X)\sim cX^{\alpha(\mathcal{L})}(\log X)^{t(\mathcal{L})-1}

as X→∞X\to\infty for some positive constant cc.

This is the expected asymptotic formula for rational points of bounded height on Fano varieties. The source presents it as a review of the Manin conjecture in relation to the automorphic counting problem; no resolution status is supplied here.

References

Primary source

Ian Petrow, “The Weyl law for algebraic tori”, arXiv:1808.09991 (2024).

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