The N0.634N^{0.634} fluctuation conjecture for the height of C0(t)\mathbb{C}_0(t)

Let C0(t)\mathbb{C}_0(t) denote the relevant boundary cluster at time tt, and let NN be the scaling parameter used for the Poisson percolation model. Fluctuation conjecture. Fluctuations in the height of C0(t)\mathbb{C}_0(t) are of order N0.634N^{0.634}. This is a physicist-style prediction based on critical-exponent heuristics; the paper states that it is not proved mathematically because very little is known rigorously about critical exponents for oriented percolation.

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Primary source

Irina Cristali, Matthew Junge and Rick Durrett, “Poisson percolation on the oriented square lattice”, arXiv:1806.03705 (2018).

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