Hofman-Zhang regulator divisibility conjecture for cyclic cubic fields

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Let p>3p>3 be a prime, let KK range over cyclic cubic fields, and let RK,pR_{K,p} denote the normalized pp-adic regulator. Hofman-Zhang's conjecture.

Prob(p divides RK,p)={1p2,p≡2(mod3),2p−1p2,p≡1(mod3).\mathrm{Prob}(p\text{ divides }R_{K,p})= \begin{cases} \dfrac{1}{p^2},&p\equiv 2\pmod 3,\\[6pt] \dfrac{2}{p}-\dfrac{1}{p^2},&p\equiv 1\pmod 3. \end{cases}

The source says that this prediction is supported by heuristic arguments and numerical experiments, while providing no proof or resolution.

References

Primary source

Razvan Barbulescu and Jishnu Ray, “Numerical verification of the Cohen-Lenstra-Martinet heuristics and of Greenberg's p-rationality conjecture”, arXiv:1706.04847 (2019).

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