Gaussian asymptotics conjecture for Betti numbers of large-degree embeddings

Let XX be a smooth projective variety of dimension nn, let AA be a line bundle defining the large-degree embeddings, and set

Ld=dA+P,L_d=dA+P,

with rd=h0(X,Ld)1r_d=h^0(X,L_d)-1. Write

kp,q(X;Ld)=dimKp,q(X;Ld).k_{p,q}(X;L_d)=\dim K_{p,q}(X;L_d).

Gaussian Betti-number conjecture. Fix q[1,n]q\in[1,n]. There is a normalizing function Fq(d)F_q(d), depending on XX and geometric data, such that for every sequence of integers pdp_d satisfying

pdrd2+ard2,p_d\longrightarrow \frac{r_d}{2}+a\frac{\sqrt{r_d}}{2},

for fixed aa, one has

Fq(d)kpd,q(X;Ld)ea2/2F_q(d)\,k_{p_d,q}(X;L_d)\longrightarrow e^{-a^2/2}

as dd\to\infty.

The conjecture proposes that the Gaussian profile proved for weight-one syzygies of curves persists universally for all smooth projective varieties and weights. The source presents this as an expected asymptotic pattern; no resolution is given.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Lawrence Ein and Robert Lazarsfeld, “Syzygies of projective varieties of large degree: recent progress and open problems”, arXiv:1605.07477 (2016).

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