Asymptotic conjecture for short weighted averages of prime-pair counts

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Let π2k(x)\pi_{2k}(x) count primes p≤xp\leq x such that both pp and p+2kp+2k are prime. Let E=E(x)E=E(x) be a function satisfying

log⁡x=o(E).\log x=o(E).

Short-average prime-pair conjecture. As x→∞x\to\infty,

1⌊E⌋2∑1≤k≤E(⌊E⌋−k)π2k(x)∼xlog⁡2x.\frac{1}{\left\lfloor E\right\rfloor^2}\sum_{1\leq k\leq E}\left(\left\lfloor E\right\rfloor-k\right)\pi_{2k}(x)\sim\frac{x}{\log^2 x}.

The conjecture would provide the expected asymptotic for these weighted short averages, complementing the paper’s proved lower bounds. The source presents it as a likely conjecture and gives no resolution, so it remains open.

References

Primary source

Jori Merikoski, “Averaged Form of the Hardy-Littlewood Conjecture”, arXiv:1605.04757 (2016).

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