Batyrev–Tschinkel's modified Manin conjecture for canonical Fano varieties

Let XX be a canonical Fano variety over a number field KK, with a metrized anti-canonical divisor and associated height function HH. For a suitable subset UX(K)U\subset X(K), write

NU(B)={xUH(x)B}.N_U(B)=\sharp\{x\in U\mid H(x)\le B\}.

Let ρ(X)\rho(X) be the Picard number and let cd(X)\operatorname{cd}(X) be the number of crepant divisors over XX. Batyrev–Tschinkel's modified Manin conjecture. There is a positive constant cc such that

NU(B)cB(logB)ρ(X)+cd(X)1(B).N_U(B)\sim c\cdot B\cdot(\log B)^{\rho(X)+\operatorname{cd}(X)-1}\qquad(B\to\infty).

This modifies the expected point-counting asymptotic for smooth Fano varieties to account for canonical singularities. The source presents it as a modification of a conjecture of Batyrev and Tschinkel; its general validity is not established.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Takehiko Yasuda, “Densities of rational points and number fields”, arXiv:1408.3912 (2014).

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