The test function conjecture via nearby cycles

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Let ShKpSh_{K_p} be the Shimura variety, let MKp/OE\mathcal M_{K_p}/\mathcal O_E be a natural integral model, and let RΨxR\Psi_x denote the nearby-cycles complex at a point xx of its special fiber. Let Φp\Phi_p be geometric Frobenius, ϕr\phi_r the test function, and let c(γ0;γ,δ)c(\gamma_0;\gamma,\delta), O(1Kp){\rm O}(1_{K^p}), and TOδθ(ϕr){\rm TO}_{\delta\theta}(\phi_r) be the terms in the semisimple trace formula. Nearby-cycles test function conjecture. There exists a natural integral model MKp/OE\mathcal M_{K_p}/\mathcal O_E such that

∑x∈MKp(kEj0)trss(Φpr,RΨx)=∑(γ0;γ,δ)c(γ0;γ,δ) O(1Kp) TOδθ(ϕr),\sum_{x\in\mathcal M_{K_p}(k_{E_{j0}})}{\rm tr}^{\rm ss}(\Phi_p^r,R\Psi_x)=\sum_{(\gamma_0;\gamma,\delta)}c(\gamma_0;\gamma,\delta)~{\rm O}(1_{K^p})~{\rm TO}_{\delta\theta}(\phi_r),

where ϕr=prd/2(ZV−μ,jEj0∗1Kpr)\phi_r=p^{rd/2}\bigl(Z_{V^{E_{j0}}_{-\mu,j}}*1_{K_{p^r}}\bigr). The source explicitly says that some unconditional versions have been proved, but this formulation is not stated as fully resolved.

References

Primary source

Thomas J. Haines, “The stable Bernstein center and test functions for Shimura varieties”, arXiv:1304.6293 (2014).

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