Goldfeld's density conjecture for quadratic twists

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Let EE be an elliptic curve over Q\mathbb Q. Let Σ2\Sigma_2 be the set of Dirichlet characters of order 22, and interpret density in Σ2\Sigma_2 using conductor ordering.

Goldfeld's conjecture. For every elliptic curve E/QE/\mathbb Q, those χ\reinΣ2\chi\rein \Sigma_2 for which

ord⁡s=1L(E,χ,s)>1\operatorname{ord}_{s=1}L(E,\chi,s)>1

have density 00 in Σ2\Sigma_2.

This is a conjecture about the distribution of central vanishing orders in quadratic twists. The paper uses it as a standard analytic-rank expectation in discussing obstructions to expressing Mordell–Weil rank modulo an integer as a sum of local invariants.

References

Primary source

Tim Dokchitser and Vladimir Dokchitser, “A note on the Mordell-Weil rank modulo n”, arXiv:0910.4588 (2009).

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For every elliptic curve over Q, the manuscript claims analytic ranks zero and one each have density 1/2 among signed squarefree quadratic-twist parameters ordered by absolute value; hence analytic rank at least two has density zero in that ordering. It also claims that full 2-power Selmer corank zero or one equals the analytic and Mordell–Weil ranks and forces finiteness of the whole Tate–Shafarevich group. This MathDB question instead orders quadratic Dirichlet characters by conductor. The attachment is related progress; equivalence of these two orderings is not asserted here.

Repository: https://github.com/openai/math

Manuscript: https://github.com/openai/math/blob/adc7f1241b42e322a6451854ab7e4b4c146bf78a/preprints/Goldfelds-analytic-density-conjecture-and-the-2-converse-for-elliptic-curves-September-23-2026/paper.pdf

  • OpenAI-006-01-Goldfeld-s-analytic-density-conjecture-and-the-2-converse-for-elliptic-curves.pdf1,088,074 bytesOpen