65 problems
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Identifiability conjecture for general-length changes in autoregressive processes
Identifiability conjecture. If
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Optimality conjecture for the change-point estimation algorithm
The data consist of a highly dependent time series with change-points, and the proposed algorithm estimates both the number and locations of the change-points without relying on ra…
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The universality conjecture for compound Poisson limits of inhomogeneous INAR(1) processes
Universality conjecture. Every compound Poisson measure can appear as a limiting distribution of an inhomogeneous INAR(1) process.
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Monotonicity conjecture for the FIGARCH coefficient entropy function
Monotonicity conjecture. is increasing, and consequently the condition holds if and only if , with if…
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Conjecture on weakly dependent time series beyond projective criteria, association, and Gaussianity
Weak-dependence conjecture. Some time series satisfy weak dependence conditions with fast enough decay rates to ensure a Donsker type theorem, but satisfy neither condition nor ano…
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Samarov–Taqqu conjecture on asymptotic variance under weakened conditions
Let and be as in Theorem , let and denote the covariance asymptotic quantities used there, and let . Samarov–Taqqu…
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Vitale's asymptotic-efficiency conjecture for the BLUE in the class
Let and let be the class of spectral densities defined in the source. For each , consider the BLUE…
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Local relation conjecture for extreme temperature changes and milder DJI changes
For Day , define … Here is the daily percentage alteration in temperature in New York City and is the daily percentage alteration in the Dow Jones Industrial Average…
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Asymptotic distribution conjecture for the AR(2)-based spectral peak estimator
Let denote the AR(2)-based estimator of the spectral peak location for the stationary time series . The estimato…
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The proportional coverage-loss conjecture for split conformal prediction under moving-average dependence
Let be standard Gaussian variables and let define a moving-average process of order . Suppose …
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Wiener's one-sided representation conjecture for stationary processes
Wiener's conjecture. Under certain conditions, a stationary process can be expressed as a one-sided function of a sequence of i.i.d. random variables.
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Partial-likelihood conjecture for learning process-wide conditional independence graphs
Let CEStGM denote the conditionally specified graphical model for stationary multivariate time series, with parameters and a process-wide conditional independe…
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Compactness conjecture for stationarity of conditionally specified graphical models
Let be the integral operator associated with the interaction kernel defining a conditionally specified stationary multivariate time-series model, and let stationarity mean that…
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Robustness of sliding-window CCA to small stream misalignments
Let the two data streams be those used by the sliding-window canonical correlation analysis method, and suppose that the data satisfy relatively mild conditions, for example, that…
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The conjectured usefulness of robust Markovian mean estimation for time-series outliers
The result concerns robust mean estimation for data that are both Markovian and adversarially contaminated. In particular, the estimator texttt{RUMEM} achieves, under the stated Hu…
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The conjecture on a stationary process without a good ARMA approximation
Conjecture on the absence of a good ARMA approximation. The process does not have a good ARMA model of the displayed form that is better than the simple -term truncation…
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Symmetric-distribution conjecture for extremal precision
Let be a random variable with a symmetric distribution, and let denote the extremal precision functional. For a fixed horizon , write for the absolute value…
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Extension of stochastic realization results to autoregressive inputs
Input-extension conjecture. The results of this paper can be extended from white-noise inputs to more general inputs, including inputs generated by autoregressive models driven by…
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The delay-embedding manifold reconstruction conjecture
Manifold reconstruction conjecture. Given the Manifold Hypothesis that time series data lie on a manifold, this method reconstructs this topological space from the input time serie…
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Wu's Gumbel limit conjecture for maximal sample autocovariance deviations
Wu's Gumbel limit conjecture. It was conjectured that, when , follows asymptotically the Gumbel extreme-value distribution. This concerns the extreme-value beha…
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Similarity of East European source data in GDP trend estimation
Consider transfer learning for estimating Hungary's GDP trend using source data from Bulgaria, Croatia, Czechia, Estonia, Greece, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, the S…
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Extension of the log-average periodogram covariance formula to degenerate Gaussian time series
The log-average periodogram is considered for Gaussian time series, with covariance matrices that may be positive semidefinite rather than positive definite. Extension conjecture.…
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Conjecture that working-model misspecification is less variable than direct estimation on the predictors
Let the error process satisfy … Consider the working model for and the corresponding estimation based on the residualized predictors , including cases in which th…
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Universality of the likelihood-ratio statistic under stable finite-order VAR dynamics
Fix and . Suppose that the data-generating process satisfies … where the innovations are independent and identically distributed as ,…
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Generalization of conditional stationarity notions to non-continuous-valued time series
Generalization conjecture. The notions of conditional correlation, conditional stationarity, and conditional nonstationarity should extend to time series that are not necessarily c…