22 problems
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Impossibility of universal sign preservation by experimental procedures
An experimental procedure is any procedure for comparing recommendation algorithms in an A/B experiment, and preserving the sign means preserving the sign of the comparison between…
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The necessity of forgetting for optimal globally private bandit algorithms
In an -global differentially private stochastic bandit, an algorithm is said to forget when it discards past rewards between independent episodes. Forgetting-necessity con…
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Index-equating conjecture for UCB algorithms
Consider a -armed bandit model. For arm , let be the number of pulls by time , let be its empirical mean reward, and let be the index…
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Tightness conjecture for stopping-time mutual information in multi-armed bandits
Stopping-time mutual-information tightness conjecture. The achievability result for is tight; equivalently, its lower bound cannot be improved in general.…
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Existence of an optimal variance-estimating strategy for best arm identification
In a multi-armed bandit experiment, suppose the strategy estimates the arms' variances during the experiment rather than assuming that they are known. Variance-estimation optimalit…
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Conjecture that exponential dependence on the number of latent contexts is unavoidable
Exponential-dependence conjecture. Some exponential dependence on is unavoidable in the sample complexity of learning latent multi-armed bandits.
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The inverted-U conjecture for experimentation and exploitation payoffs
Let denote the experimentation parameter in the paper's multi-armed bandit model, and let denote the policymaker's discounted payoff, with discount f…
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Conjectured universally tight lower bound for personalized federated bandits
Let clients play a multi-armed bandit for time slots. For client , let denote its optimal arm, let denote the reward distribution of arm for cl…
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Conjecture on the dependence of the smallest corruption gap on the ground-set size
Let denote the size of the ground set, and let denote the smallest optimality gap achievable in the corruption-tolerant best-arm identification setting. Conjectu…
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Optimality of the round-robin policy for more than two sources
Let and let be the number of channels. For a problem instance , consider all possible permutations of arms in the set and the round…
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The difficulty of deterministic index-based algorithms for constrained multi-armed bandits
Let be the set of arms, let be the set of feasible arms, and let denote the set of deterministic algorithms for the constrained multi-armed bandit problem. An algor…
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Berry's conjecture on the dynamic-programming design's asymptotic failure-count criterion
Consider the finite-horizon Bayesian two-armed bandit and the deterministic dynamic-programming design, denoted by . Let denote epochs with a large numb…
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Bradt, Johnson and Karlin's optimality conjecture for the noncomplementary two-arm bandit
Let the two arms have success probabilities from the known set , where , with the assignment of probabilities to arms unknown. A des…
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Tightness of the instance-wise Monte Carlo sample bound
Let be the total number of Monte Carlo samples, and consider the instance-wise upper bound on given for the confidence bounds…
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Regret decomposition for the non-restarting doubling trick
Let be a generic bandit algorithm, and let be its non-restarting doubling-trick version, which reinitializes the algorithm at successive horizons while…
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Exponential doubling cannot preserve the asymptotically optimal constant
Let an anytime algorithm be constructed from a non-anytime algorithm by applying a doubling trick. A geometric doubling sequence is known not to preserve the relevant problem-depen…
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Worst-case suboptimality factor for ETC strategies
Let -armed bandit means satisfy and suppose that and are much larger than the other means. Worst-case ETC conjecture. In this regime, the regret of an…
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The conjecture that Gittins's success is due to exceptionally tight confidence intervals
The Gittins index strategy is compared with OCUCB, Thompson sampling, and UCB in Gaussian-noise bandit experiments. The Gittins strategy is a Bayesian strategy whose performance is…
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The virtual-arm replacement conjecture for M-LUCB complexity
Let the virtual arm have mean , where the arms in the first action are denoted by and the remaining arms are the other arms. Virtual-arm re…
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Fixed-budget best-arm identification error exponent conjecture
Fixed-budget error exponent conjecture. In the fixed-budget setting,
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The optimal-regret conjecture for finite-armed bandits
Optimal-regret conjecture. The optimal regret might satisfy
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Impossibility of an anytime UCB policy with logarithmic regret tails
Impossibility conjecture. There is no algorithm that does not need to know the time horizon and whose regret has a tail distribution satisfying