9 problems
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The half-coherence explanation for conformal prediction's efficiency with vacuous priors
Half-coherence conjecture. The main reason that conformal prediction handles the vacuous-prior case more efficiently than other imprecise-probability frameworks is that CP enjoys h…
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Impossibility of reasonable estimation for cluster points of relative frequencies
Impossibility conjecture. There is no reasonable estimator such that
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The incompatibility of behavioral coherence, validity and efficiency in inferential models
An inferential model (IM) produces a coherent lower and upper probability and has strong validity, meaning that its plausibility contour is stochastically no smaller than uniform u…
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The incompatibility of strong validity and the likelihood principle for inferential models
An inferential model (IM) is constructed from a statistical model with parameter and sampling distribution ; its plausibility contour is driven by th…
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Conjecture on the limit interpretation of the generalized lower expectation update
Let be the set of precise models under consideration, and define the lower updated expectation by … whenever the set over which the infimum is taken is nonempty. Limi…
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Conjectured computational simplification from 2-convex and 2-coherent natural extensions
A conditional lower prevision is called 2-convex or 2-coherent when it satisfies the corresponding consistency property for combinations of at most two gambles; its natural extensi…
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Unconditional convergence conjecture for imprecise continuous-time Markov chains
Unconditional convergence conjecture. This limit should exist without imposing any conditions on :
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The partition-conditioning conjecture for a priori minimax decision rules
Let be a set of distributions on , and let denote the a priori minimax-optimal decision rule. A partition…
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The partition-based updating conjecture for minimax decision rules
Let be an arbitrary set of distributions on , let be an arbitrary loss function on , and let be the minimax…