9 problems
- 0 votes0 replies0 views
Conjecture on global stability for the full two-strain model
Consider the full system represented by the full model and the reduced system represented by the reduced model. The two systems have numerically similar long-term dynamics, with tr…
- 0 votes0 replies0 views
Conjecture on persistence of steady-state conclusions across cross-immunity levels
Let denote the cross-immunity parameter, with , where represents no cross-immunity and represents full cross-immunity. Assume the c…
- 0 votes0 replies2 views
Hill–Longini conjecture on convexity and concavity of the effective reproduction number
In the metapopulation framework, let be a next-generation matrix with non-negative entries, let \boldsymbol{[?]?
- 0 votes0 replies0 views
Agreement of the Bellman–Harris incidence equation with the renewal equation
Agreement conjecture. The renewal equation agrees with the integral equation for incidence, namely
- 0 votes0 replies0 views
Large-population extinction-time conjecture for the discrete-time SIR model
Consider the stochastic discrete-time SIR model with population size , reproductive number , and infection growth rate … When (equivalently, ), the mean t…
- 0 votes0 replies0 views
Global endemic-equilibrium stability conjecture for the discrete-time SIR model
Consider the deterministic discrete-time SIR model with reproductive number and its endemic equilibrium. The model is based on individual-based update rules with an exponenti…
- 0 votes0 replies0 views
Small-time-step global endemic-equilibrium conjecture for the discrete-time SIR model
Let be positive or nonnegative continuous-time rate parameters, let , and define the discrete-time parameters by … Let be the…
- 0 votes0 replies0 views
Large-population intrinsic extinction-time conjecture for the discrete-time SIS model
Let be the SIS model parameters, let be the population size, and set … When , the quasi-stationary distribution describes the long-term transient b…
- 0 votes0 replies1 view
Global asymptotic stability conjecture for the endemic HIV/AIDS equilibrium
Consider the HIV/AIDS prevention model with AIDS-induced death rate , and let the endemic equilibrium be denoted by . Global asymptotic stability conjecture. The end…