21 problems
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Sullivant's conjecture on vanishing ideals of Gaussian DAG models
A Gaussian directed acyclic graph (DAG) model is the statistical model associated with a directed acyclic graph under Gaussian conditional-dependence constraints; its conditional i…
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Local independence and conditional independence for continuous-time processes
Let , , and denote the restrictions and time- values of the processes indexed by sets , , and , respectively. Local-independence conje…
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The asymptotic number of probabilistic compositional graphoids
Asymptotic counting conjecture. The number of compositional graphoids which are representable by discrete random variables is asymptotically
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Hannula et al.'s conjecture on the complexity of bounded-cardinality conditional independence implication
Hannula et al.'s conjecture. The bounded-cardinality conditional independence implication problem can be easier than the general upper bound suggests, especially when all variables…
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Gaussoid axioms suffice for CI implication in singly constrained Gaussian DAG models
Gaussoid-axioms sufficiency conjecture. If holds for every covariance matrix , then…
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Trivial incompatibility implies compatibility up to conditional independence
Let be a DAG and let be a support. Say that is trivially incompatible with when some -separation relation of induces a conditional indepe…
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The HLP conjecture on algebraic mDAGs
Let be an mDAG. Write for the property that all causal compatibility constraints of are conditional independence relations, and let…
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The GSS quadratic-part conjecture for Bayesian network ideals
Let be a finite Bayesian network, let be its associated prime ideal, and let be the ideal generated by the conditional-independence relations of . The quadratic…
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Pearl–Paz finite axiomatization conjecture for conditional independence implications
Pearl–Paz conjecture. There exists a finite set of axioms characterizing all valid conditional independence implication statements.
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Compositional semigraphoid axioms for the third infinite-dimensional orthogonality option
For an infinite-dimensional factored set, one proposed definition says that and are orthogonal given if they are orthogonal given in some finite-dimensional flatten…
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Conjecture on inefficiency of Azadkia–Chatterjee-type tests under dependent covariates
Consider conditional independence tests based on Azadkia–Chatterjee-type coefficients and conditional randomization tests, with local alternatives in which and may be dep…
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Azadkia–Chatterjee's central limit theorem conjecture for the unconditional coefficient
Let and be independent, and let be the coefficient defined by … Here and are the rank and nearest-neighbor index quantities defined for the covari…
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Matúš's rational-point conjecture for discrete conditional independence models
Matúš's rational-point conjecture. For any discrete conditional independence model , there exists a distribution
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The four-variable Ingleton conjecture for probabilistic and linear representability
Four-variable Ingleton conjecture. The sub-cone obtained by adding the Ingleton inequalities to the inequalities defining determines all probabilistic conditional-ind…
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Two-global-statement realizability conjecture for gaussoids
Two-global-statement realizability conjecture. All minimal gaussoid extensions of at most two global conditional-independence statements are realizable.
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Studený's two-antecedent completeness conjecture for discrete conditional independence
Studený's two-antecedent completeness conjecture. The semigraphoid axioms are complete for those inference rules of discrete conditional independence that have at most two antecede…
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Pearl–Paz completeness conjecture for discrete conditional independence
Pearl–Paz completeness conjecture. The semigraphoid axioms are complete for the theory of discrete conditional-independence structures.
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Existence of a Markov category of measurable spaces with conditional expectations
Conditional-expectation Markov category conjecture. Such a Markov category exists, with conditionals in the sense of the paper's definition, and these conditionals are given by con…
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Gretton's conjecture on the untestability of conditional independence
Let , , and be random variables, and let the null hypothesis consist of distributions under which and are conditionally independent given . A test is required…
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Separoid axioms for extended conditional independence
Let extended conditional independence be defined for stochastic variables in the presence of a decision variable, and let the separoid axioms be the standard axioms satisfied by co…
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Smoothness conjecture for models with adequate interaction replacements
Smoothness conjecture. All models obtained by replacing the interactions in with an adequate replacement in are smooth everywhere in the parameter space.