2 problems
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Perturbation conjecture for extreme martingales and Kolmogorov axiomatics
Let be the conditional-probability specification associated with the signals and assignments described above, and let the resulting extreme martingales…
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Selective-attention conjecture for the apparent accuracy of crowds
The authors consider a crowd whose collective estimate is formed from individual estimates of a quantity. Selective-attention conjecture. The crowd's alleged accuracy is most likel…