Schroer–Sauer–Ott–Yorke predictability conjecture
Schroer–Sauer–Ott–Yorke predictability conjecture
Let be a smooth diffeomorphism of a compact Riemannian manifold with a natural measure of information dimension . An observable is called almost surely -predictable with respect to when its -delay prediction error vanishes for -almost every state. SSOY predictability conjecture. For a generic observable , is almost surely -predictable with respect to for . This conjecture concerns the number of time-delayed scalar measurements needed to predict future observations of a chaotic system; the paper states that its general version is proved for Lipschitz systems and prevalent Lipschitz observables, while the original smooth natural-measure formulation is thereby recovered in the stated setting.
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Primary source
Krzysztof Barański, Yonatan Gutman and Adam Śpiewak, “Prediction of dynamical systems from time-delayed measurements with self-intersections”, arXiv:2212.13509 (2024).
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