Weak Manin's conjecture for geometrically uniruled varieties

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Let FF be a number field, let XX be a smooth geometrically uniruled projective variety over FF, and let LL be a big and nef Q\mathbb Q-divisor on XX. Choose a height function associated to LL,

HL:X(F)→R≥0.\mathsf H_L:X(F)\to\mathbb R_{\geq 0}.

For T≥0T\geq 0, define

N(U,L,T)=#{P∈U(F)∣HL(P)≤T}.N(U,L,T)=\#\{P\in U(F)\mid\mathsf H_L(P)\leq T\}.

Weak Manin's conjecture. There exists a non-empty Zariski open subset U⊂XU\subset X such that, for every ϵ>0\epsilon>0,

N(U,L,T)=O(Ta(X,L)+ϵ).N(U,L,T)=O\bigl(T^{a(X,L)+\epsilon}\bigr).

This is the weak upper-bound form of Manin's conjecture for rational points on geometrically uniruled varieties. It predicts an upper bound with exponent arbitrarily close to the aa-invariant; the supplied text gives no evidence that the conjecture has been resolved.

References

Primary source

Sho Tanimoto, “An introduction to Geometric Manin's conjecture”, arXiv:2110.06660 (2021).

Additional references

2 papers in this index state this conjecture (2018–2021). The statement above is taken from the most recent of them; the others are arXiv:1812.03423.

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