Folklore conjecture on density of pseudo-Anosovs in the mapping class group

From papers

Fix a finite generating set for Modg{\rm Mod}_g, let B(r)B(r) be the ball of radius rr, and define the density of SModgS\subset {\rm Mod}_g by

d(S)=limr#(B(r)S)#B(r).d(S)=\lim_{r\to\infty}\frac{\#(B(r)\cap S)}{\#B(r)}.

Let P{\cal P} be the set of pseudo-Anosov elements of Modg{\rm Mod}_g. Density conjecture for pseudo-Anosovs.

d(P)=1.d({\cal P})=1.

Random-walk and other probabilistic results show pseudo-Anosovs are prevalent in related senses, but the stated density conjecture does not follow directly from those results.

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Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Benson Farb, “Some problems on mapping class groups and moduli space”, arXiv:math/0606432 (2006).

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