The hyperbolicity and linear expected-volume conjecture for random Heegaard splittings

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Let NϕN_\phi be the 3-manifold obtained from a random Heegaard splitting determined by a mapping class ϕ\phi, and let LL denote the random-walk length. The hyperbolicity and linear expected-volume conjecture. As LL\to\infty, the probability that NϕN_\phi is hyperbolic tends to 11, and the expected volume of NϕN_\phi grows linearly in LL. This predicts that long random Heegaard splittings are typically hyperbolic and have volumes of the scale suggested by their random-walk length. The source gives no resolution status.

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Primary source

Nathan M. Dunfield and William P. Thurston, “Finite covers of random 3-manifolds”, arXiv:math/0502567 (2007).

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