Aldous–Diaconis continuum-limit conjecture for East-model excursions

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Let X0(t){\bf X}^0(t) be the East process on the positive integers, started from a single particle at site 00. Let r(x)r({\bf x}) be the rightmost occupied site in configuration x{\bf x}. Let pp be the particle-density parameter, and let ω(p)\omega(p) decrease to zero sufficiently slowly. Aldous–Diaconis continuum-limit conjecture. There exist constants t(p)t(p) and a function G(x)G(x) for 0<x<∞0<x<\infty such that, for every such ω(p)\omega(p),

P(sup⁡0≤s≤ω(p)t(p)r(X0(s))>xp)∼G(x)ω(p)P\left(\sup_{0\leq s\leq \omega(p)t(p)}r({\bf X}^0(s))>\frac{x}{p}\right)\sim G(x)\omega(p)

as p↓0p\downarrow0, with xx fixed. This conjecture describes the short-time probability of an East-process excursion reaching macroscopic distance on the scale 1/p1/p. The supplied text states the conjecture but gives no evidence of resolution, so its status is left open.

References

Primary source

David Aldous and Persi Diaconis, “The Asymmetric One-Dimensional Constrained Ising Model”, arXiv:math/0110023 (2001).

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