Telek's conjecture on Markovian representations of rational arrival processes

From papers

Let a rational arrival process (RAP) have joint densities on (0,)k(0,\infty)^k for every k1k\ge 1, and let G0\bm{G}_0 be the matrix in a RAP representation governing the evolution between arrivals. Assume that all these joint densities are strictly positive and that G0\bm{G}_0 has a unique real eigenvalue of maximal real part. Telek's conjecture. Every such RAP has a finite-dimensional Markovian arrival process (MAP) representation. The conjecture is the point-process analogue of the classical ME/PH characterisation, but the paper shows that it is false: positivity of all joint densities and the dominant-eigenvalue condition do not force a finite-dimensional MAP representation.

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Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Oscar Peralta, “Rational arrival processes with strictly positive densities need not be Markovian”, arXiv:2603.28047 (2026).

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