Projective type II thin-set counting conjecture

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Let M⊂Pn−1(Q)M\subset\mathbb{P}^{n-1}(\mathbb{Q}) be a thin set of type II, and let NPn−1(M,B)N_{\mathbb{P}^{n-1}}(M,B) denote the number of points of MM of height at most BB. Projective type II conjecture. There should be a constant C(M)C(M) such that

NPn−1(M,B)≤C(M)Bn−1s(B),N_{\mathbb{P}^{n-1}}(M,B)\leq C(M)B^{n-1}s(B),

where s(B)s(B) is a small factor, potentially satisfying s(B)≪εBεs(B)\ll_\varepsilon B^\varepsilon for every ε>0\varepsilon>0, or s(B)≤(log⁡B)γ(M)s(B)\leq(\log B)^{\gamma(M)} for some γ(M)>0\gamma(M)>0, or s(B)≤1s(B)\leq 1. This is the central conjecture for projective thin sets of type II and would sharpen the general baseline bound.

References

Primary source

Dante Bonolis, Lillian B. Pierce and Katharine Woo, “Counting points in thin sets: A survey”, arXiv:2603.23334 (2026).

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