Projective Dimension Growth Conjecture

Let VPNV\subset\mathbb{P}^N be an irreducible projective variety of degree d2d\geq 2 defined over Q\mathbb{Q}, and let Nproj(V,B)N_{\mathrm{proj}}(V,B) denote the number of rational points on VV of height at most BB. Projective Dimension Growth Conjecture. There should be a constant C(V)C(V) such that

Nproj(V,B)C(V)BdimPVs(B)for all B1,N_{\mathrm{proj}}(V,B)\leq C(V)B^{\dim_{\mathbb{P}}V}s(B)\qquad\text{for all $B\geq 1$,}

where s(B)s(B) is a small factor, potentially satisfying s(B)εBεs(B)\ll_\varepsilon B^\varepsilon for every ε>0\varepsilon>0, or s(B)(logB)γ(V)s(B)\leq(\log B)^{\gamma(V)} for some γ(V)>0\gamma(V)>0, or s(B)1s(B)\leq 1. The exponent is essentially best possible, and examples show that a logarithmic factor can be necessary.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Dante Bonolis, Lillian B. Pierce and Katharine Woo, “Counting points in thin sets: A survey”, arXiv:2603.23334 (2026).

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