Conjectured energy-supercritical Type II singularity formation

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Let X=({v≤0}∪{t≤−0.9})∩{−1≤u<0}\mathcal{X}=(\{v\leq 0\}\cup \{t\leq -0.9\})\cap\{-1\leq u<0\} and let C\mathcal{C} be the backward light cone. Let ϕ\phi solve the relevant wave-map or semilinear equation, with dd the spatial dimension, pp the power, and cp,dc_{p,d} the constant determined by

p−12cp,dp−1=d−2−2p−1.\frac{p-1}{2}c_{p,d}^{p-1}=d-2-\frac{2}{p-1}.

Let γ=12(d−2−d2−8d+8)\gamma=\frac12(d-2-\sqrt{d^2-8d+8}). Energy-supercritical Type II conjecture. For any l∈N>γl\in\mathbb{N}_{>\gamma} and d≥7d\geq7, there exists a wave-map solution with k=1k=1 such that ϕ∣C=π2+O(rl−γ)\phi|_{\mathcal{C}}=\frac\pi2+\mathcal{O}(r^{l-\gamma}) and ϕ\phi is smooth across C\mathcal{C}. Moreover, for d≥11d\geq11 and p>1+4d−4−2d−1p>1+\frac4{d-4-2\sqrt{d-1}}, after fixing αd,p>0\alpha_{d,p}>0 as in the cited result and taking l∈N>αl\in\mathbb{N}_{>\alpha}, there exists a solution of the semilinear equation such that

ϕ∣C=cp,dr−2p−1+O(rl−α−2p−1)\phi|_{\mathcal{C}}=c_{p,d}r^{-\frac2{p-1}}+\mathcal{O}\left(r^{l-\alpha-\frac2{p-1}}\right)

and ϕ\phi is smooth across C\mathcal{C}. The solutions are smooth for v<0v<0 and have scale-critical norm bounded below as τ→0\tau\to0; the source further allows finite CkC^k regularity in place of smoothness. These conjectures describe Type II concentration around a singular self-similar exterior profile in the energy-supercritical regime. The supplied text cites constructions but explicitly presents the strengthened regularity formulation as conjectural, and gives no resolution evidence.

References

Primary source

Istvan Kadar and Lionor Kehrberger, “A note on exterior stability of isolated singularity formation for nonlinear wave equations”, arXiv:2602.03963 (2026).

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