Threshold transition conjecture for cubic focusing nonlinear waves
Threshold transition conjecture for cubic focusing nonlinear waves
Consider the focusing nonlinear wave equation with in spatial dimension . Let , , be a one-parameter family of initial data imposed at . Threshold transition conjecture. There exists a smooth one-parameter family and some such that: (1) , and for the corresponding solution exists globally in time to the past; (2) in some sufficiently large ball, and for the corresponding solution blows up to the past, with some portion of the past boundary of its maximal domain of existence being a smooth spacelike hypersurface along which the solution exhibits ODE-type blow-up; (3) at , the past development blows up at , and within the future light cone of this point the solution approaches the nontrivial self-similar solution as , exhibiting locally naked singularity formation. This conjectures a threshold between the open small-data scattering regime and the large-data ODE-type blow-up regime, with the self-similar solution governing the transition.
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Primary source
Istvan Kadar and Warren Li, “Scattering and stability for ODE-type blow-up surfaces for focusing nonlinear wave equations”, arXiv:2602.02715 (2026).
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