The absorption-time and Brownian-bridge maximum distribution conjecture

For each N≥1N\geq 1, let T2NT_{2N} and T2N+1T_{2N+1} be the absorption times in the discrete Whittaker process. Let MNM_N be the maximum height of NN non-intersecting reflected Brownian bridges starting and ending at zero, and let HNH_N be the maximum height of NN non-intersecting Brownian excursions. Absorption-time distribution conjecture.

T2N=d2(MN)2,T2N+1=d2(HN)2.T_{2N}\stackrel{d}{=}2(M_N)^2,\qquad T_{2N+1}\stackrel{d}{=}2(H_N)^2.

The conjecture would connect absorption times of the discrete Whittaker process with maxima of non-intersecting Brownian paths; it is consistent with the explicitly verified cases N=1N=1 and N=2N=2. The cited asymptotic results for MNM_N and HNH_N would imply Tracy–Widom GOE fluctuations for the absorption times if the conjecture holds.

References

Primary source

Neil O'Connell, “Absorption Times for Discrete Whittaker Processes and Non-Intersecting Brownian Bridges”, arXiv:2601.06893 (2026).

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